Northeast Florida Real Estate Market Update

June 18, 2021

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“Dad: A son’s first hero, a daughter’s first love.” —Unknown

 

I want to wish a Happy Father’s Day to every Dad because you are incredibly special.

 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats show that new listings of 3,785 are up 12.7% over last May and we are up 1.9% year-to-date. The Northeast Florida Builders Association shows building permits through April of 5,170 permits which is a 45% increase over the same period last year.

 

While new listings and new construction is great news, the inventory of available homes continues to fall. There were 3,847 homes available for sale in May compared to 9,147 last May for a 57.9% reduction. There is 1.1 months supply of inventory available. A balanced market is 5 to 6 months of inventory.

 

The reason inventory continues to fall is the increased demand. There were 3,672 pending sales in May which is up 18.5% over last May. Pending sales are up 25.5% over the same period year-to-date. The 3,276 closed sales are up 37.2% over last May and 25.0% over same period year-to-date.

 

The median sales price of $290,000 is up 16.9% over last May and the average sales price of $363,044 is up 26.1% over last May. A staggering 41% of homes closed in May sold over their list price.

 

The median sales price in May by county:

Baker $264,900

Clay $277,500

Duval $260,000

Nassau $344,893

Putnam $156,000

St. Johns $415,000

 

Many of the builders are limiting their sales currently due to supply and labor issues. While we keep hearing about lumber shortages, the National Association of Home Builders reports that appliances are the biggest issue with lumber a very close second. A key reason for the appliance shortage is the computer chips, which most now require.

 

The market still favors sellers; however, with some persistence, many buyers are successfully getting the home they want under contract. If we can help you with a purchase or a sale of your home, please let us know.

 

Please save the date for our Davidson Cares Clay Day 2021. Our event is October 21, 2021 at Jacksonville Clay Target Sports.

 

Happy Father’s Day!

The Things You Might NOT Know About the Real Estate Market in Northeast Florida

June 3, 2021

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The real estate market is notorious for its ups and downs, however, this real estate market is unique. Inventory is low, demand is high, and homes are FLYING off the market faster than ever! With so much uncertainty in this unprecedented market, it’s more important than ever to have a trusted real estate expert by your side to navigate the market.  Northeast Florida real estate expert Sherry Davidson, President of Davidson Realty, is answering some of the most common real estate questions from the community. 

 

How can I figure out how much my home is worth? 

Your home’s value is whatever the market is willing to pay. The market is changing very rapidly. It is in your best interest as a home seller to have a trusted real estate expert that knows the current market by your side to help you place a value on your home. Our team is selling homes daily and has the knowledge to ensure your home sells for TOP DOLLAR! 

 

Should I sell my home before buying a new one? 

The answer to this question has always been, YES! However, in the current real estate market conditions, the answer depends on your situation. If you sell, you need to have a rental home lined up or have the ability to live with family until you find your next home. If you put a new home under contract, you will probably not get a contingency to sell your existing home. You will risk losing your escrow deposit if you can’t close or you will have to acquire a bridge loan, extra savings, or a gift to close on the new home before you have the closing on your existing home.

 

Is World Golf Village expanding? 

With a few small exceptions, the only portion of World Golf Village not built out is Trailmark. There are new phases of homesites still becoming available in Trailmark.

 

What is the next go-to area to move to in Northeast Florida? 

There are so many incredible communities in Northeast Florida. However, Silverleaf is extremely popular right now. Silverleaf is located in highly desired St. Johns County, Florida, and just minutes from various shopping centers, beaches, golf courses, and entertainment.   The community will also be home to a first-class amenities center for residents to enjoy! 

 

If you are interested in buying or selling a home or have further questions about the market, contact Davidson Realty at (904) 940-5000.

Real Estate Market Update

May 20, 2021

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“You just can’t beat the person who never gives up.” Babe Ruth

 

If you want to buy a home in today’s market, you should listen to Babe Ruth. Most buyers are having to be persistent and make offers on several homes before they get a home under contract.

 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for April continue to show high demand for homes and limited supply which is causing price increases.

 

There were 3,615 pending sales in April which is up 52% over last April; however last April COVID was a factor in less contracts being written. The year-to-date numbers for pending sales are up 27% so you can see there is increased demand in the four-month period.

 

There were 3,177 closed sales in April which is a 27% increase month-over-month and 20% year-to-date.

 

The median sales price is $284,941 which is up 14% over last month and 12.5% year-to-date. The average sales price is $357,438 which is up 20.5% over last month and 18% year-to-date.

 

The most staggering statistic to me was the percent of properties sold over list price. For the properties that closed in April, 36.9% sold over list price. That is a 142.8% increase over April 2020. The average for the previous 12 months was 13.3% selling over list price.

 

On the supply side, there were 3,991 available homes for sale at the end of April which is down 58% from last April and there are 1.2 months supply of homes for sale. A balanced market is 5 to 6 months.

 

There may be better news coming to help with supply. A survey by Realtor.com indicated more sellers plan to put their homes on the market. Another survey by NerdWallet of 2,127 homeowners shows 1 in 6 (17%) plans on selling their home in the next 18 months. In fact, 45% of those planning to sell say higher asking prices and lower inventory have caused them to sell earlier than initially planned.

 

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun predicts an increase in the 30-year fixed mortgage interest rate to an average of 3.2% in 2021. “As mortgage rates increase, the frenzied multiple-offer situation will become less prevalent by year’s end, as affordability challenges squeeze out some buyers and more inventory reaches the market,” Yun predicts.

 

“With more inventory and some easing in demand, home prices are expected to shift to mid-single-digit appreciation by the fourth quarter and in 2022,” Yun says. He predicts that:

· Median existing-home sales price will increase 7% in 2021

· Existing-home sales will grow by 10% as more homes reach the market

· New home sales will increase by 20%

 

These predictions are great news. In the meantime, if you are interested in buying or selling, please contact a Realtor with knowledge of the market. We would love to help you navigate these interesting times.

4 Ways to Sweeten the Deal When Buying a Home

May 5, 2021

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The real estate market is unlike anything we’ve seen before. Inventory is low, demand is high, and homes are flying off the market! “With the current market conditions, listings are receiving multiple offers and buyers need to be ready to act fast with their best offer when they see a listing they love,” shares Davidson Realty President, Sherry Davidson. In such an intensely competitive market, trust the real estate experts at Davidson Realty to help you put your best foot forward with these strategies. 

 

Get Pre-Approved for a Mortgage

The first thing you should do when you decide to purchase a home is obtain a pre-approval letter. A pre-approval letter not only states what a lender is willing to lend to you but shows the seller you are serious and prepared to purchase a home. A pre-approval letter shows legitimacy and a sign of good faith that they can afford to buy the home. Sellers are more likely to select an offer that is pre-approved than one that is not. 

 

Eliminate Contingencies

A clean offer is extremely attractive to sellers. “Any contingencies you have in your offer could be a negative to the seller. Sellers want a low risk and speedy closing,” shares Sherry. Appraisals are often a major cause of home sales falling through. Eliminating this step allows for a smooth sale process with minimal chance of things going wrong. As the buyer, you are effectively taking the risk off the home seller and putting it on to yourself. 

 

Make an All-Cash Offer

All-Cash offers provide the unique opportunity of keeping the sale primarily between the buyer and the seller. Cash offers tend to be stronger than offers utilizing traditional financing because they are less risky for the seller. With a cash sale, no appraisal is necessary since there is no mortgage lender involved. The absence of a mortgage lender also allows for a quicker closing. A fast timeline is advantageous for sellers because the sooner they close, the sooner they get paid.  

 

Be Flexible

Including a flexible timeline in your offer can go a long way with sellers. Depending on the sellers’ situation they may need more or less time in the home than the traditional 30-day closing period. If you are not in a hurry to move, being as adaptable as possible will be to your advantage as the sellers will then be able to decide what works best for them. This can go a long way, especially if competing offers come with strict deadlines. 

 

If you are ready to begin the search for your next home, call Davidson Realty today to help you get started. 

REAL ESTATE MARKET UPDATE

April 23, 2021

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“God could not be everywhere, and therefore he made mothers.” Rudyard Kipling

 

I wish every mother a Happy Mother’s Day!

 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for March shows 3,782 homes available for sale compared to 9,484 last March, a 60% reduction. It appears the low supply of homes for sale, high buyer demand and rising prices will be with us for several years.

 

The single-family home for sale inventory peaked in 2007 with about 3.7 million homes available nationally and has been dropping since then to 1.07 million homes currently.

 

A great article from The Mecklenburg Times cites the reason for continued buyer demand as low household formation rates following the Great Recession. If the historical household formation rate had continued after the recession, there would have been 5.7 million more households formed.

 

“The mid-2000s financial collapse began a domino effect. Roughly $6 trillion in real estate equity vanished during the housing crash, impacting the ability of many families to pass down wealth to their children. Young people who finished school around the late 2000s faced a soft job market, which can have long-lasting effects on a person’s finances and their ability to start a new household. Previous Zillow research has shown it takes about six years for homeownership rates of those who graduated college during a recession to catch up with those who graduated during better economic times.”

 

The last two years had shown that when the economy is good and most Americans have access to decent jobs, more of them are able to find a home of their own. More Millennials are turning 33 which has been the age most are marrying and starting families. This trend should continue rising for the next three to four years. Add to this the retiring Baby Boomers who are downsizing and the COVID-related moves where people can work from anywhere. The demand should continue for several more years at least.

 

The supply is tight and the demand is strong, so prices are rising. The median sales price is $274,900 up 12.7% over last March. The average sales price is $344,643, up 20.4%. Many buyers are offering to pay more than list price to get the offer accepted among multiple offers. The percent of properties sold over list price spiked 102.1%. In March 2020 14.2% of properties sold over list price and in March 2021 28.7% paid over list price.

 

It is a seller’s market, so if you are considering selling, we are happy to assist you. If you are interested in buying, we are finding ways to get offers accepted. Thank you for your continued trust and please let us know if we can help in any way. Happy Mother’s Day!

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