Jacksonville, FL Real Estate Trends in May 2011

“Life is not about how fast you run or how high you climb but how well you bounce” Vivian Komori

If you own a business or are connected to the real estate industry in any way, you will enjoy the quote.

The most important trend I am seeing this month is the drop in inventory. The inventory of homes for sale in May 2011 is down 25.8% from May 2010. This inventory level translates into 8.9 months of supply versus a 11.7 months supply for the same period last year. This is a 23.7% drop in inventory. In many popular neighborhoods there are very few properties available for purchase that aren’t already under contract. We need to monitor this trend in inventory levels to better advise both our purchasers and sellers with regard to the pricing outlook.

Pending sales are up. The May 2011 pending sales of 1,756 transactions is 33.9% higher than May 2010. The year-to-date pending sales are 3.3% higher than the same period in 2010. The number of homes going under contract (pending sales) tends to bounce around each month but May 2011 is tied with March, 2011 for the highest amount of pending sales in the last 21 months. Another positive outlook.

Closings are down 10.6% from last May; however, the number of closings year-to-date are up slightly over the same period in 2010. Between lender, appraisal and title issues, it is always cause for celebration when we get a transaction to closing.

Pricing continues to be down compared to the previous year. The median sales price is down 7.9% and the average sales price is down 3%. If you look a little closer, the median sales price of traditional sales is up over 5% and the median sales price of lender-mediated sales is down over 14%. I would also point out that in the northern St. Johns County area the average price currently seems have stabilized around the same price as 6 months ago.

The lender-mediated sales in May 2011 were 49% of closings for the month. If you think this number is high, remember that short sales and foreclosures made up 60% of the closings in February. I believe this number is down because the banks are being more careful with their foreclosure process due to the recent bad publicity.

To sum it up: inventory is down, the transaction activity is up and the prices overall are down year-to-year.

If you have any questions or need any assistance with real estate issues, please give me a call 904-940-5000. I always enjoy talking about real estate.