Davidson Realty, Inc.

Real Estate Market Update

August 23, 2021

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Posted by in News, Northeast Florida Market Trends

“Your reputation is what people say about you. Your character is what God knows about you.” Bobby Bowden

 

Whether an FSU fan or not, most people respect and love Bobby Bowden.

 

The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors market stats for July have a few interesting twists. Prices continue to rise, pending and closed sales are down compared to July 2020, and new listings are up.

 

New listings of 3,915 are up 6.9% month over month and 5.3% year to date. The inventory of homes for sale of 4,668 is up slightly from the June number of 4,586. It is still down 40.6% from last July. The months supply of inventory is at 1.4 months which is the same as June but down 50% from last July. Since 5 to 6 months supply of inventory is a balanced market, we are still in a seller’s market.

 

There were 3,287 pending sales in July down 10.6% from last July. However, pending sales are up 13.4% year-to-date. There were 3,149 closings in July down 16.2% from last July but we are up 16.7% year-to-date. The month-to-month comparisons are difficult to interpret because last June and July were the two highest months for sales last year and July was the highest month for closings as a result of the slowdown in April and May 2020 due to Covid.

 

NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun is predicting interest rates to increase to 3.3% by the end of the year on 30-year fixed rate mortgages and average 3.6% in 2022. He predicts existing-home sales will decline marginally from 6 million in 2021 to 5.99 million in 2022.

 

Dr. Yun also predicts housing starts will improve to 1.65 million in 2022 from 1.565 in 2021 and existing-home prices will increase at a slower pace of 4.4% in 2022 compared to 14.1% in 2021.

 

The July median sales price is $303,600 up 15% month-over-month and 13.7% year-to-date. The average sales price is $381,499 up 18.4% month-over-month and 18.6% year-to-date. An amazing 45.6% of listings sold for an amount over list price.

 

It does appear the speed of the market is slowing a little and there may be more opportunities for first-time homebuyers and buyers using FHA or VA loans. Sellers were seeing so many cash offers and conventional loans, that many didn’t want to accept government backed loans because of their inflexibility. The market calming down a little will be good for everyone.

 

Please take a minute to go to DavidsonCares.com and sign up for Clay Day on October 21st or buy a ticket to one of our raffles. We have our YETI cooler full of alcoholic beverages and tickets for 8 people at Concerts for a Cause which is an amazing event watching live music outside.

 

Have a great Labor Day holiday and enjoy the rest of your summer. Please let us know if we can help you with any real estate questions.

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Jacksonville, FL Real Estate Trends in May 2011

June 29, 2011

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Posted by in Northeast Florida Market Trends

“Life is not about how fast you run or how high you climb but how well you bounce” Vivian Komori

If you own a business or are connected to the real estate industry in any way, you will enjoy the quote.

The most important trend I am seeing this month is the drop in inventory. The inventory of homes for sale in May 2011 is down 25.8% from May 2010. This inventory level translates into 8.9 months of supply versus a 11.7 months supply for the same period last year. This is a 23.7% drop in inventory. In many popular neighborhoods there are very few properties available for purchase that aren’t already under contract. We need to monitor this trend in inventory levels to better advise both our purchasers and sellers with regard to the pricing outlook.

Pending sales are up. The May 2011 pending sales of 1,756 transactions is 33.9% higher than May 2010. The year-to-date pending sales are 3.3% higher than the same period in 2010. The number of homes going under contract (pending sales) tends to bounce around each month but May 2011 is tied with March, 2011 for the highest amount of pending sales in the last 21 months. Another positive outlook.

Closings are down 10.6% from last May; however, the number of closings year-to-date are up slightly over the same period in 2010. Between lender, appraisal and title issues, it is always cause for celebration when we get a transaction to closing.

Pricing continues to be down compared to the previous year. The median sales price is down 7.9% and the average sales price is down 3%. If you look a little closer, the median sales price of traditional sales is up over 5% and the median sales price of lender-mediated sales is down over 14%. I would also point out that in the northern St. Johns County area the average price currently seems have stabilized around the same price as 6 months ago.

The lender-mediated sales in May 2011 were 49% of closings for the month. If you think this number is high, remember that short sales and foreclosures made up 60% of the closings in February. I believe this number is down because the banks are being more careful with their foreclosure process due to the recent bad publicity.

To sum it up: inventory is down, the transaction activity is up and the prices overall are down year-to-year.

If you have any questions or need any assistance with real estate issues, please give me a call 904-940-5000. I always enjoy talking about real estate.

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Sherry’s Five Real Estate Facts For June 2009

August 17, 2009

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Posted by in Northeast Florida Market Trends

Each month the Northeast Florida Association of Realtors releases market statistics. I have pulled five of the most interesting facts from the month of June for you. To sum up the market, sales are better, closings are harder and prices are down.

1.  Pending sales increased 42.4% in June, 2009 over June, 2008.

We have seen a huge increase in home buyer activity in St. Augustine, FL. For several months, buyers were looking at homes but not making offers. At Davidson Realty we are seeing many more contracts written.

2.  Closings decreased 3.3% for the same period.

The buyers are getting homes under contract; however, the closings are taking much longer. It is taking longer for lenders to approve the buyer’s loan. There are more obstacles to closing a transaction, including new regulations that do not allow lenders to speak directly with appraisers. There are also many short sales where the homeowner owes more to the lender Read more

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