Northeast Florida Real Estate Market Update

December 16, 2021

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“God goes to those who have time to hear him—and so on this cloudless night he went to simple shepherds.” Max Lucado

 

 

At this holiday season, the Northeast Florida real estate market is still looking bright. The Northeast Florida Association of Realtors (NEFAR) market statistics show continued price increases and decreasing availability of homes.

 

The median sales price in November 2021 is $325,000 for all property types in all 6 counties. This is a 23.6% increase year over year and 4.8% higher than October 2021. In St. Johns County the median price is $450,000 for a 26.8% increase year over year. All predictions I have seen are for price increases to slow to single-digit increases next year.

 

There are 3,915 properties available in November 2021 which is down 31.4% year over year and down 14.7% from last month. There is 1.3 months supply of inventory which is down 33.9% year over year and 7.2% from last month. A balanced market is 5 to 6 months of supply.

 

Of the closings in November, 28.8% closed over list price. This number peaked at 40.6% of properties in July and has been dropping, but there was a slight increase from 28.3% last month.

 

There are many opinions on mortgage interest rates since the Federal Reserve announced Wednesday they will be shrinking their monthly bond purchases at twice the rate previously announced and forecasting to raise interest rates three times next year.

 

Nadia Evangelou, Senior Economist and Director of Forecasting at the National Association of Realtors said, “When inflation rises, lenders ask for higher interest rates as compensation for the decrease in purchasing power. Thus, if inflation remains elevated for a longer period, that will drive up mortgage rates.” She expects rates to rise to 3.5% next year. I have seen others predict 3.6% to 3.7%.

 

The supply of homes is expected to increase slightly in 2022; however, the demand should remain strong. More than 45 million millennials will be prime homebuying age, between 26 and 35, entering 2022 plus downsizing baby boomers and Generation Z buyers. We will have to see what effect rising mortgage rates has on demand.

 

For now, inventory remains low, demand is high and prices keep creeping higher. Please let us know if there is anything real estate-related we can help you with.

 

Happy Holidays and New Year! Thank you so much for your support and referrals during 2021.

Legacy of Giving: Vallencourt Construction Company Supports Davidson Cares Clay Day

December 9, 2021

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Since the very first Davidson Cares Clay Day, Vallencourt Construction Company has not only been a top sponsor but an incredible advocate for the annual event. 

 

“The Davidson Companies has a very long history working with Vallencourt Construction. We spent a lot of time with Mike Vallencourt, Sr. while the development of World Golf Village was underway. It is wonderful to work with a company with such amazing values. They do what they say they will do, always. Vallencourt Construction is extremely generous giving back to our community,” Sherry Davidson, President of Davidson Realty. 

 

Vallencourt Construction Company was established in 1945. With more than seventy years of experience, family-owned Vallencourt Construction Company provides clients an unbeatable value with their experience, strong workforce, and top-of-the-line machinery. The team at Vallencourt Construction Company continually seeks out new markets and projects. They believe this forward-thinking is critical to providing the best value to customers, opportunities for employees, and growth as an organization. Vallencourt has had a hand in countless projects over the years including RiverTown, Bannon Lakes, Beachwalk, and the Town Center Promenade.

 

Beyond their impressive list of professional successes, Vallencourt is passionate about doing good in the community just like the Davidson Companies. “Davidson Cares is a wonderful organization and we at Vallencourt Construction could not be happier to help support it through Clay Day. Clay Day brings people together to connect and have some fun while raising money for great causes that help to build up the youth in our community. Thank you to the Davidson family and all that you do!” Kyle Gammon, Chief Financial Officer for Vallencourt Construction Company. 

 

Both Sherry Davidson and Kyle Gammon serve on the Investing in Kids! Board and both have seats on the Finance Committee.  This shared dedication and love for serving have helped to create a legacy of giving. 

 

Davidson Cares Clay Day is proud to have the support and sponsorship from Vallencourt Construction Company as they continue to give back in Northeast Florida. To learn more about Vallencourt Construction Company visit their website at www.vallencourt.com or call (904) 291-9330. 

 

Davidson Cares Clay Day

 

The 6th Annual Davidson Cares Clay Day was held on October 21, 2021, at Jacksonville Clay Target Sports. Davidson Cares Clay Day included two-sport shooting events, beginner skeet, and sporting clay. Individuals and teams from beginner to expert levels participate.  

 

In association with the event, there was also a raffle contest. Prizes include a 65-quart YETI cooler with 13 full-size liquors and a pod for Concerts for a Cause. 

 

Money raised from the event and raffles went directly to Builders Care, St. Augustine Youth Services (SAYS), and Investing in Kids (INK!) in equal sums.

 

Please help us support these organizations that are so important to our community by visiting DavidsonCares.com.

Northeast Florida Real Estate Market Update

November 19, 2021

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“Gratitude can turn common days into thanksgiving, turn routine jobs into joy, and change ordinary opportunities into blessings.” -William Arthur Ward

I rely on the Northeast Florida Association of Realtors (NEFAR) market statistics in my analysis each month. NEFAR has changed the company providing the statistics and the information is now interactive and allows you to choose property type, County, or region. Go to NEFAR.com and click on the market stats tab to check it out.

 

The median sales price of $310,000 is up 17.8% from last October, but unchanged from last month. Of the closings in October, 28.5% closed over list price. This is up 103.2% from last October, but down 7.3% from last month.

 

The inventory of homes for sale continues to be extremely low. There were 4,270 active properties for sale which is down 31.1% from last October and 7.9% from last month. The 1.4 months of inventory available is also down 25.8% year over year and 9.5% from last month.

 

The Northeast Florida real estate market may see smaller price increases and fewer multiple offers, but there is still a strong imbalance between buyer demand and homes available. It is still a seller’s market.

 

I wanted to share some interesting information from the 2021 National Association of Realtors (NAR) Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers. Jessica Lautz, Vice President of Demographics and Behavioral Insights at NAR, says both buyers and sellers “have been driven by the desire to be close to family and friends, as well as the need for a larger home” during the pandemic.

 

Of the sellers who also became buyers, many traded up to bigger, more expensive, and often newer homes, with 46% purchasing a larger home and 28% one of the same size. In the past years, convenience to work and affordability had ranked as top factors for reasons to move.

 

The pandemic likely spurred occupants to shorten their homestay, as tenure in the home decreased to eight years from 10 years, according to the report – the largest single-year change in home tenure since NAR began collecting such data. Historically, tenure in the home has been six to seven years, but it increased to nine to 10 years following the Great Recession.

 

It will be interesting to see how remote work opportunities play out in the future. It seems like employees and companies are still figuring out the new rules and how that will affect home sizes and locational choices.

 

I want to express my gratitude for your friendship and support in 2021. Davidson Cares raised $75,000 at our Clay Day thanks to all the generous people in northeast Florida. Have a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday!

Inspired to Give: MasterCraft Builder Group Supports Davidson Cares Clay Day

November 18, 2021

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The Davidson Cares Clay Day has been a successful event from every standpoint. MasterCraft Builder Group is to thank for the inspiration behind Clay Day as it’s modeled after MasterCraft Builder Groups’ very own charity shoot called Clays for a Cause. 

 

“When I asked Chris Shee, Founder and CEO of MasterCraft Builder Group, about his charity shoot, he generously shared all the details we needed to begin our shoot,” shared Davidson Realty President, Sherry Davidson. “Since our first Davidson Cares Clay Day in 2016, MasterCraft has supported us and been sponsors every year.”

 

With deep roots in Northeast Florida, MasterCraft is an organization passionate about serving the community and continuously puts its neighbors first. “MasterCraft is a huge supporter of Davidson Cares because of the local factor.  We prefer to keep our giving to organizations like St. Augustine Youth Services and Investing in Kids because they help children who live in “our backyard”.  There is a great sense of community in St. Johns County and it’s events like Clay Day that help our local kids who need it most,” shares President of MasterCraft Builder Group, Brad Shee. 

 

MasterCraft takes pride in not only building great semi-custom homes in St. Johns County but strives to take care of the people in the community. In addition to Clays for a Cause, MasterCraft also organized Concerts for a Cause, a concert series at the Tringali Barn, and built the Home from the Heart for Builders Care last year. They donate hundreds of thousands of dollars to local charities. 

 

Davidson Cares Clay Day is proud to have the support and sponsorship from MasterCraft Builder Group as they continue to support local charities. To learn more about MasterCraft Builder Group, visit their website at mastercraftbuildergroup.com or call (904) 295-1604.

 

Davidson Cares Clay Day

 

The 6th Annual Davidson Cares Clay Day was held on October 21, 2021, at Jacksonville Clay Target Sports. Davidson Cares Clay Day included two-sport shooting events, beginner skeet, and sporting clay. Individuals and teams from beginner to expert levels participate.  

 

In association with the event, there was also a raffle contest. Prizes include a 65-quart YETI cooler with 13 full-size liquors and a pod for Concerts for a Cause. 

 

Money raised from the event and raffles went directly to Builders Care, St. Augustine Youth Services (SAYS), and Investing in Kids (INK!) in equal sums.

 

Please help us support these organizations that are so important to our community by visiting DavidsonCares.com.

Together is Better: iVenture Supports Davidson Cares Clay Day

November 15, 2021

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Over the past six years, Davidson Cares Clay Day has brought countless people together to give back to the Northeast Florida community. Many of those who support the event are friends of the Davidson Companies. iVenture is just one of those professional relationships that have continuously joined in the efforts of Davidson Cares. 

 

iVenture has been a Davidson Cares sponsor for five years. This year, Davidson Cares was proud to have iVentures support at the highest level of sponsorship. In addition to making up three teams of shooters, they also sponsor the shoot after party. 

 

“Davidson Cares Clay Day is such an exciting event for us because it’s purely local and it brings so many of us together who don’t get to see each other as much as we’d like.  It’s a unique opportunity for us to bring friends and local businesses together with the great people at Davidson and support a local cause.,” shares Gray Mabry, Chief Executive Officer of iVenture. “It’s meaningful that the money stays in the community that we serve and we know it all goes towards helping local youth. Plus, it’s just a ton of fun – BBQ, sporting clays, friends, great prizes, and a beautiful North Florida fall day!”

 

“iVenture has been providing IT support for the Davidson Companies for over fifteen years. They are an amazing company and give us great comfort knowing they always respond so quickly and professionally. They took the time to understand our business and have worked with us over the years as our business needs have changed,” shares Sherry Davidson, President of Davidson Realty. 

 

Since 2016, Davidson Cares Clay Day has raised more than $345,000 to support charities in need because of generous sponsors like iVenture. To learn more about iVenture visit their website at www.iventuresolutions.com.

 

Davidson Cares Clay Day

 

The 6th Annual Davidson Cares Clay Day was held on October 21, 2021, at Jacksonville Clay Target Sports. Davidson Cares Clay Day included two-sport shooting events, beginner skeet, and sporting clay. Individuals and teams from beginner to expert levels participate.  

 

In association with the event, there was also a raffle contest. Prizes include a 65-quart YETI cooler with 13 full-size liquors and a pod for Concerts for a Cause. 

 

Money raised from the event and raffles went directly to Builders Care, St. Augustine Youth Services (SAYS), and Investing in Kids (INK!) in equal sums.

 

Please help us support these organizations that are so important to our community by visiting DavidsonCares.com.

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